Interest Rates, US Tariffs, and Housing Trends in Canada
Ontario Mortgage & Real Estate Insights Podcast
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Steve HamoenJanine Veenendaal

Interest Rates, US Tariffs, and Housing Trends in Canada

E385 • Jul 30, 2025 • 10 mins

In this episode, the conversation begins with an introduction and a sponsor message. The discussion then moves to the Bank of Canada's monetary policy and its economic outlook. Economists' perspectives on interest rates and inflation are explored, followed by an analysis of U.S. tariffs and their effects on the Canadian housing market. The episode delves into the challenges faced by the lumber market and the implications for regional housing starts. Additionally, mortgage trends among young families and the role of intergenerational wealth are examined. The episode concludes with closing remarks and a sponsor reminder.

Key Points

  • The Bank of Canada has decided to hold its key interest rate steady at 2.75%, with potential for future cuts due to increasing economic slack and trade uncertainties.
  • The construction industry in Canada is facing significant challenges due to high construction costs and increased tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber, leading to persistent pessimism among homebuilders.
  • New data from TD Economics reveals that young Canadian families are carrying smaller mortgage balances, potentially due to opting for less expensive homes or receiving intergenerational financial support.
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